The commitment ledger

Every forecast Edge publishes is sealed with a SHA-256 hash the moment it is published and scored against the outcome on the day the horizon closes. A scored forecast is never rescored; a number that was wrong stays wrong on the record.

1 hit, 2 misses, 2 pending. Figures on this page were counted on 27 Oct 2026.

Operational forecasts are of something Edge counts itself; Market forecasts are of something outside Edge that anyone can verify.

Market

Hammer on lot BF-2204, a 2022 Force Trax DV

Lot BF-2204 on the yard, a 2022 Force Trax DV with 364,000 km, will hammer inside the band when its timed auction closes on 16 September 2026; unsold or withdrawn counts as a miss.

Band: 5.66 lakh rupees to 6.64 lakh rupees
Predicted 6.15 lakh rupees
Read on: 16 Sep 2026
Sealed: 12 Sep 2026
Verdict: Hit Outcome 6.4 lakh rupees, read on 14 Oct 2026. Read from the yard's close on 16 Sep 2026: ₹6,40,000. That round was held before the yard opened to the public, so this verdict says nothing about what the market would pay.
Method: The register's one depreciation arithmetic on the comparable new price of 11,53,599 rupees, age four years and 364,000 km, with a band of 8 percent around the midpoint. Standing bid at sealing: 5,60,000 rupees after 17 bids. Anyone can read the close on the yard page.

Verify this row

The commitment text

lot-bf-2204-hammer-2026-09-16|Lot BF-2204 on the yard, a 2022 Force Trax DV with 364,000 km, will hammer inside the band when its timed auction closes on 16 September 2026; unsold or withdrawn counts as a miss.|615000|565800|664200|2026-09-16|2026-09-12T15:22:37.013414Z

SHA-256

One line of Python that recomputes the hash from the text

python3 -c "import hashlib,sys; print(hashlib.sha256(sys.argv[1].encode()).hexdigest())" 'lot-bf-2204-hammer-2026-09-16|Lot BF-2204 on the yard, a 2022 Force Trax DV with 364,000 km, will hammer inside the band when its timed auction closes on 16 September 2026; unsold or withdrawn counts as a miss.|615000|565800|664200|2026-09-16|2026-09-12T15:22:37.013414Z'

Market

Hammer on lot GC-2221, a 2020 BharatBenz 2823RT tipper

Lot GC-2221 on the yard, a 2020 BharatBenz 2823RT tipper with 374,000 km, will hammer inside the band when its timed auction closes on 16 September 2026; unsold or withdrawn counts as a miss.

Band: 10.67 lakh rupees to 12.53 lakh rupees
Predicted 11.6 lakh rupees
Read on: 16 Sep 2026
Sealed: 12 Sep 2026
Verdict: Miss Outcome 13.15 lakh rupees, read on 14 Oct 2026. Read from the yard's close on 16 Sep 2026: ₹13,15,000. That round was held before the yard opened to the public, so this verdict says nothing about what the market would pay.
Method: The register's one depreciation arithmetic on the comparable new price of 29,15,000 rupees, age six years and 374,000 km, with a band of 8 percent around the midpoint. Standing bid at sealing: 10,85,000 rupees after 18 bids. Anyone can read the close on the yard page.

Verify this row

The commitment text

lot-gc-2221-hammer-2026-09-16|Lot GC-2221 on the yard, a 2020 BharatBenz 2823RT tipper with 374,000 km, will hammer inside the band when its timed auction closes on 16 September 2026; unsold or withdrawn counts as a miss.|1160000|1067200|1252800|2026-09-16|2026-09-12T15:21:42.866177Z

SHA-256

One line of Python that recomputes the hash from the text

python3 -c "import hashlib,sys; print(hashlib.sha256(sys.argv[1].encode()).hexdigest())" 'lot-gc-2221-hammer-2026-09-16|Lot GC-2221 on the yard, a 2020 BharatBenz 2823RT tipper with 374,000 km, will hammer inside the band when its timed auction closes on 16 September 2026; unsold or withdrawn counts as a miss.|1160000|1067200|1252800|2026-09-16|2026-09-12T15:21:42.866177Z'

Operational

Vehicles launched by makers in October 2026

Makers will launch, by their own announced dates, a number of new variants in October 2026 inside the band.

Band: 4 variants to 18 variants
Predicted 8 variants
Read on: 31 Oct 2026
Sealed: 12 Sep 2026
Verdict: Pending
Method: The launch tracker's rate over the last 180 days (51 variants with a maker-announced launch date), halved and doubled for the band.

Verify this row

The commitment text

launches-2026-10|Makers will launch, by their own announced dates, a number of new variants in October 2026 inside the band.|8|4|18|2026-10-31|2026-09-12T08:14:58.415758Z

SHA-256

One line of Python that recomputes the hash from the text

python3 -c "import hashlib,sys; print(hashlib.sha256(sys.argv[1].encode()).hexdigest())" 'launches-2026-10|Makers will launch, by their own announced dates, a number of new variants in October 2026 inside the band.|8|4|18|2026-10-31|2026-09-12T08:14:58.415758Z'

Operational

Real list-price moves on the register in the 30 days to 12 October 2026

Between 13 September and 12 October 2026 the register will record real list-price changes (estimates excluded) on a number of variants inside the band.

Band: 1 variant to 3 variants
Predicted 1 variant
Read on: 12 Oct 2026
Sealed: 12 Sep 2026
Verdict: Miss Outcome 7 variants, read on 14 Oct 2026. 7 variants' published figures moved between 13 Sep 2026 and 12 Oct 2026, counted the way the method counted its base, estimates excluded.
Method: The price ledger's cadence over the last ninety days (2 variants moved), halved and doubled for the band.

Verify this row

The commitment text

price-moves-30d-2026-10-12|Between 13 September and 12 October 2026 the register will record real list-price changes (estimates excluded) on a number of variants inside the band.|1|1|3|2026-10-12|2026-09-12T08:14:58.408868Z

SHA-256

One line of Python that recomputes the hash from the text

python3 -c "import hashlib,sys; print(hashlib.sha256(sys.argv[1].encode()).hexdigest())" 'price-moves-30d-2026-10-12|Between 13 September and 12 October 2026 the register will record real list-price changes (estimates excluded) on a number of variants inside the band.|1|1|3|2026-10-12|2026-09-12T08:14:58.408868Z'

Operational

Hammer value on the yard, October 2026

The yard's confirmed sales in October 2026 will hammer between the band's floor and ceiling, all lots and institutions counted.

Band: 60 lakh rupees to 3 crore rupees
Predicted 1.5 crore rupees
Read on: 31 Oct 2026
Sealed: 12 Sep 2026
Verdict: Pending Sealed on 12 Sep 2026, before the yard opened to the public. It is scored on its day as it was sealed, all lots counted, and its verdict will say nothing about what the market would pay.
Method: September's hammer to date, scaled to a full calendar month and widened for a young yard, from the lots live on the day of sealing.

Verify this row

The commitment text

yard-hammer-2026-10|The yard's confirmed sales in October 2026 will hammer between the band's floor and ceiling, all lots and institutions counted.|15000000|6000000|30000000|2026-10-31|2026-09-12T08:14:58.401038Z

SHA-256

One line of Python that recomputes the hash from the text

python3 -c "import hashlib,sys; print(hashlib.sha256(sys.argv[1].encode()).hexdigest())" 'yard-hammer-2026-10|The yard'\''s confirmed sales in October 2026 will hammer between the band'\''s floor and ceiling, all lots and institutions counted.|15000000|6000000|30000000|2026-10-31|2026-09-12T08:14:58.401038Z'

How a forecast is verified

The commitment text is the key, the statement, the predicted value, the floor, the ceiling, the horizon and the sealing time, joined with a vertical bar, in UTF-8.
Its SHA-256 is the hash shown. The public API returns every field, so anyone can recompute it.
A hit is an outcome inside the band, floor and ceiling included. The outcome, the verdict and the time of scoring are written once.

GET https://api.truckaurbus.com/catalogue/forecasts

The protocol and a verifier, on request from the desk

Talk to the desk.

Tell us who you are and the decision you are pricing. The first conversation costs nothing. A reply comes on working days.

Or write to [email protected].